Experts’ predictions for Floyd Mayweather vs. Robert Guerrero

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The undefeated Floyd Mayweather (left) is a heavy favorite against Robert Guerrero, who last lost in 2006. (AP)

SI.com’s boxing experts predict Saturday’s fight between Floyd Mayweather and Robert Guerrero (9 p.m. ET, SHOWTIME PPV). Share your prediction in the comments below.

CHRIS MANNIX

Boxing’s inimitable hype machine has worked overtime to pump up Guerrero, when the reality is this: He’s not on Mayweather’s level. No question, Guerrero earned this fight. He fought the fights no one wanted (see Aydin, Selcuk) he beat a legitimate former titleholder (Andre Berto) and he looked good in both. But think about critical physical attributes: Speed, power, defense. Mayweather has the edge in all of them. I think Guerrero gets hit early and often, and I think Mayweather’s underrated power finishes him off before the final bell. Mayweather by eighth round knockout.

BRYAN ARMEN GRAHAM

Throughout history, boxing’s best-laid plans have been torpedoed spectacularly at the most unexpected times. Mayweather’s six-fight contract with Showtime, which has been trumpeted as the richest individual athlete deal of all time, certainly falls under that header. Then you consider Floyd’s advanced age (36), the documented history of fighters not being the same after prison, and the idea that no athlete — however gifted — is immune from the proverbial bad day at the office: whether it’s a broken hand in the first round or the performance of a lifetime from an opponent. It’s as if I’m more prone to pick nature, rather than Guerrero (a taller, primer two-division champion who is no walkover), to end Floyd’s undefeated run. But in the end I must walk by sight and not by faith. Mayweather’s legs aren’t what they once were and he’s been inactive, but he remains the most mentally agile fighter of his generation. Clear advantages in talent, experience, skill and ring intelligence will be enough to carry the day. Mayweather by majority decision.


  • Published On May 03, 2013
  • Robert Guerrero is 5-to-1 underdog in Saturday’s fight with Floyd Mayweather

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    Click to enlarge the most recent odds sheet for Saturday’s welterweight title fight between Floyd Mayweather and Robert Guerrero.

    LAS VEGAS — Floyd Mayweather remains a heavy favorite ahead of Saturday’s welterweight title fight with Robert Guerrero, though the most recent odds at the MGM Grand sports book have reflected moderate action on the lesser-known challenger.

    Guerrero is a +500 underdog, meaning a $100 wager returns $500 in winnings. That number is down from +700 when betting opened on Feb. 27.

    Mayweather is a -750 favorite, meaning it requires a wager of $750 to win a profit of $100. That number opened at -1100.

    A titleholder at 130, 135, 140, 147 and 154 pounds, Mayweather has never lost in 43 professional fights. The 36-year-old from Grand Rapids, Mich., is an odds-on favorite to win by decision (at 5-to-9) with even odds on a knockout.

    Guerrero (31-1-1, 18 KOs), who captured world titles at featherweight, junior lightweight and interim belts at lightweight before skipping the 140-pound division altogether to move to welterweight, is 7-to-1 to win by knockout and 11-to-1 to win by decision.

    The fight marks Mayweather’s first since he signed a six-fight television deal with Showtime and CBS worth a potential $250 million, parting ways with HBO, which had broadcast his previous 23 fights.

    – Bryan Armen Graham


  • Published On May 02, 2013
  • Athletes and celebrities give their Mayweather vs. Guerrero predictions

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    Floyd Mayweather (left) will fight Robert Guerrero on Saturday May 4 at 9 p.m. ET on Showtime PPV. (AP)

    Oddsmakers consider Floyd Mayweather to be a heavy favorite against Robert Guerrero, and it looks like athletes and celebrities agree.

    In a press release sent out by Mayweather’s PR firm, all 19 athletes weighing in picked Mayweather, while 11 out of 14 entertainers also picked the undefeated 36-year-old.

    While some of the celebrities did not exactly give detailed predictions — how much insight does Justin Bieber’s “I’ve got Floyd all day” response really offer? — others clearly showed that they followed the sport, including Foo Fighters guitarist Chris Shiflett.

    “I think Mayweather is WAY overrated,” Shiflett said. “Look at his record. Every elite fighter he’s ever been in there with was shot except Victor Ortiz (who was giving him problems until the whole thing melted down). De La Hoya was handling Mayweather with the jab. Mosley almost knocked him out. Cotto was winning that fight but gassed out because he’s shot. Everybody else Mayweather has faced was a bum. Guerrero is young, fresh and motivated. I don’t think he’s going to let Mayweather get in his head or be overwhelmed by the moment. The Ghost by decision.”

    Perhaps the most interesting prediction comes from Las Vegas comedian Sean Cooper, who says that Mayweather might lose on purpose.

    “Mayweather needs to hype up the fight he needs to lose,” he said. “Money for the Rematch. Guerrero wins!’’

    The full list of responses is below.

    ATHLETES

    Terry Bradshaw, NFL Hall of Fame QB: “Mayweather is a proud fighter who wants to remain undefeated.  He knows how to win big fights…and he won’t lose a fight in Vegas!”

    Marlon Byrd, New York Mets: “Floyd’s going to knock him out in the eighth round.”

    Ed Davis, Memphis Grizzlies: “Because his record is 1,000-0 and he will NOT lose. Floyd by knockout in the sixth round.”

    DeMar DeRozan, Toronto Raptors: “Floyd might have to work a little bit, but at the end of the day Floyd is going to be Floyd and finish him off.  He wins by eighth-round knockout.”

    Braylon Edwards, NFL wide receiver: “Never bet against Floyd.”

    Curtis Granderson, New York Yankees: “I have to say Floyd’s going to keep that zero in the loss column.”

    DeSean Jackson, Philadelphia Eagles: “My big bro Floyd is going to win.”

    Matt Kemp, Los Angeles Dodgers : “Floyd by decision. He’s too fast for Guerrero.”

    Kevin Krigger, jockey of Goldencents in the Kentucky Derby: “I’ve seen some of Guerrero’s fights and he didn’t impress me that much. He didn’t look like a guy who could beat Mayweather. It depends on what Mayweather wants to do with him. He might want to use him to prepare for his next fight. Mayweather will win by knockout in the sixth.”

    Andrew McCutchen, Pittburgh Pirates: “It will be a good fight and it will go the 12-round distance, but in the end, Mayweather will be victorious by a unanimous decision!”

    Shabazz Muhammad, Former UCLA basketball player: “Floyd knocks him out in the fifth.”

    Jermaine O’Neal, Phoenix Suns: “Floyd will be a little rusty to start the fight off because of the long layoff, but will pick-up a lot of steam around the third round. Then he will begin to beat Guerrero up and ultimately knock him out by the sixth.”

    Doug O’Neill, trainer of Goldencents in the Kentucky Derby: “Floyd is an experienced, cagey veteran. He will find Guerrero’s weaknesses and win by fifth-round knockout.”

    Metta World Peace, Los Angeles Lakers: “Mayweather will rally late in the fight to win a decision, eight rounds to four.”

    Ray Rice, Baltimore Ravens: “By the eighth round, Mayweather will have worn him out and will capitalize with a knockout.”

    Michael Vick, Philadelphia Eagles: “I think it’ll be a good fight, but Money always makes the right adjustments so I don’t see him losing. Floyd wins a unanimous 12-round decision.”

    Dion Waiters, Cleveland Cavaliers: “Hardwork and dedication are the keys.  I spent some time with Floyd in Las Vegas last year and he is the hardest-working athlete I’ve ever seen.  I can’t see him losing now or ever.  He wins by fifth-round technical knockout.”

    Maalik Wayns, Los Angeles Clippers: “Floyd Money Mayweather is the greatest of all time. Enough said. Fourth-round technical knockout.”

    Thaddeus Young, Philadelphia 76ers: “Mayweather is too fast for Guerrero and will win a 12-round decision.”

    ENTERTAINERS

    Jahlil Beats, music producer: “Mayweather gets the W. He’s the greatest of all time.”

    Justin Bieber, pop star: “I’ve got Floyd all day.”

    Sean Cooper, comedian: “Mayweather needs to hype up the fight he needs to lose. Money for the Rematch. Guerrero wins!’’

    DeRay Davis, comedian and actor: “It’ll be a fourth-round knockout for the champ. He’s going to make an example of him.”

    The Game, rapper: “Floyd in 4.”

    Brad Garrett, comedian: “Mayweather in 9. ‘Money vs. The Ghost’…sounds like my divorce.”

    Marquez Houston, singer and actor: “Floyd definitely wins.  I’m going with a ninth-round knockout.”

    Jinsu, rapper: “Floyd by sixth-round TKO. Win No. 44 (will be) light work.”

    Jackie Long, actor: “Floyd will win by knockout in the fourth or fifth round.”

    Mario Lopez, TV personality: “It being Cinco De Mayo weekend and me being Mexican, I have to go with the upset and pick Guerrero by split decision in an entertaining and spirited fight. #VivaMexico”

    Lorena Peril, vocalist: “Floyd will win a decision. He is a great champion and always brings his best into the ring.”

    Da Problem, rapper: “We all know Floyd going to go to work on his a–!”

    Busta Rhymes, rapper: “Floyd is gonna bust his a–”

    Chris Shiflett, Foo Fighters guitarist: “I think Mayweather is WAY overrated. Look at his record. Every elite fighter he’s ever been in there with was shot except Victor Ortiz (who was giving him problems until the whole thing melted down). De La Hoya was handling Mayweather with the jab. Mosley almost knocked him out. Cotto was winning that fight but gassed out because he’s shot. Everybody else Mayweather has faced was a bum. Guerrero is young, fresh and motivated. I don’t think he’s going to let Mayweather get in his head or be overwhelmed by the moment. The Ghost by decision.”

    – R.J. Rico


  • Published On May 02, 2013
  • Guerrero’s father delivers tirade against Floyd ‘woman beater’ Mayweather

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    Pre-fight boxing press conferences tend to have their fair share of smack talk, but Robert Guerrero’s father, Ruben, took it to a whole new level on Wednesday.

    Referencing the domestic violence conviction that had sent Floyd Mayweather to jail for 57 days, Ruben Guerrero called Mayweather “a woman beater” — eight times.

    “Do you guys like… this guy, [this] woman beater?!” Guerrero shouted. “He must have learned that from his dad!”

    Of course, the rant was made all the better by the presence of Oscar De La Hoya, who tried desperately to try to figure out a way to shut Ruben Guerrero up.

    “All right, it’s OK, it’s OK,” De La Hoya stammered. “Hold on … All right … All right …”

    Mayweather will fight Robert Guerrero on Saturday night in Las Vegas, although the undefeated welterweight champion is probably wishing he were getting a shot at the elder Guerrero instead.

    – R.J. Rico


  • Published On May 02, 2013
  • Will HBO’s spat with Golden Boy cost Peter Quillin a shot at the top?

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    Peter Quillin (Elsa/Getty Images)

    Peter Quillin took down Fernando Guerrero to defend his WBO middleweight title at Barclays Center. (Elsa/Getty Images)

    NEW YORK — Peter Quillin sat on a dais late Saturday night with a toothy smile and hardly a scratch on his face. Hours earlier, Quillin, the undefeated WBO middleweight champion, the charismatic transplanted Brooklynite who has made the Barclays Center his new home, defended his title, stopping Fernando Guerrero in the seventh round. At 29, Quillin is a fighter with a bright future. Or at least he should be.

    Read More…


  • Published On Apr 29, 2013
  • Danny Garcia survives flurry of punches from Zab Judah for title win

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    Danny Garcia (right) dominated Zab Judah early to defend his WBA/WBC junior welterweight belt. (Elsa/Getty Images)

    Danny Garcia (right) dominated Zab Judah early to defend his WBA/WBC junior welterweight belt. (Elsa/Getty Images)

    NEW YORK — Three thoughts on Danny Garcia’s unanimous decision win over Zab Judah:

    For Garcia, a learning experience

    No question, Garcia won the fight. He dominated most of the early rounds and picked up a knockdown in the eighth, countering a straight left hand from Judah with a stinging right that sent Judah tumbling to the canvas. But Judah showed tremendous heart, refusing to quit and rallying to win most of the final rounds. He hurt Garcia repeatedly in the tenth, seeming to catch his second wind while Garcia started to slow down. But Judah gave away too many rounds early, and the judges’ scoring (115-112, 114-112, 116-111) was spot on.

    Read More…


  • Published On Apr 28, 2013
  • UFC 159′s Michael Bisping: ‘I fight better when I’m angry’

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    UFC 159

    An angry Michael Bisping eyes revenage against Alan Belcher at UFC 159. (Diamond Images/Getty Images)

    NEWARK — He’s back. After an absence of nearly a year and a half.

    True, Michael Bisping competed in the UFC as recently as January, but that wasn’t the real Bisping. And I say that not because he was knocked out by a Vitor Belfort head kick. He fared much better in the fight before that, a decision victory over Brian Stann last September, and performed admirably even in a loss to Chael Sonnen eight months earlier.

    But the Bisping in those bouts — or, more precisely, in the leadup to those bouts — was a gentleman, an agreeable sort. He talked about his dedication and preparation and blah blah blah. It was not the Bisping we’d come to know and love. Or hate. Not the Bisping who spewed insults in the face of Jason Miller right up until the night in December 2011 when he made “Mayhem” his fourth straight conquest. Would we ever again see that angry guy from so many past fights?

    Read More…


  • Published On Apr 27, 2013
  • Dana White went soft on Matt Mitrione; updated with fighter’s apology

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    UFC president Dana White lifted Matt Mitrione's suspension despite Mitrione never apologizing for his comments. (AP)

    UFC president Dana White lifted Matt Mitrione’s suspension despite Mitrione never apologizing for his comments. (AP)

    NEW YORK — Dana White was sitting on a brightly lit makeshift stage in the lobby of The Theater at Madison Square Garden, well aware of the irony of him being on this stage on a Thursday afternoon while, two nights later, his fighters would not be allowed to put on a show under the bright lights in the arena behind him. UFC 159 will play out on Saturday night not in New York’s eminent sports cathedral but across the river in New Jersey. It’s as if White’s mixed martial arts organization were the Giants or Jets, except for one tiny detail: The NFL is welcome in the Empire State.

    “It is what it is,” the UFC president told a gathering of reporters, pulling out a well-worn phrase of his, but this time with what seemed more resignation than usual behind it. White has seen MMA sanctioning legislation have its moments up in Albany, like a fighter getting in a few crisp jabs and leg kicks early in the first round, self-assuredly sticking and moving, looking like it’s his night. Until he runs into an overhand right. The leadership of the New York State Assembly, which again and again has KO’d an MMA bill before it even could come up for a vote, packs a mean punch.

    “I’m so over it,” said White, sounding like he’s anything but. Unless by “over it” he means keeping his nose out of a lobbying effort that can only suffer from his crudely tactless manner. That’s why the company’s visits to Albany are being made by CEO Lorenzo Fertitta, whom White characterized as “the kinder, gentler side of the UFC.”

    But as the UFC pushes for the sanctioning it needs to celebrate its 20th anniversary come November with a gala fight card in the Garden, which the organization has expressed keen interest in doing, White continues to play a significant role. How could he not? More than any fighter, the boss is the public face of the company. What he says and does matters.

    That is why the irony White missed on Thursday was more telling than the irony he acknowledged. Sure, he noticed the row of sports photographs that line one of the walls of the Garden lobby, prominent among them a shot of a kickboxing match. That sport is sanctioned in New York, along with boxing and other combative disciplines that are elements of MMA, while MMA itself is not? Right there from a frame on the wall, irony was getting up in White’s face.

    At the same time, the UFC poobah chose not to look squarely in the eye of the situation’s other source of irony. That would be the shameful saga of Matt Mitrione. You know, the heavyweight who back on April 8 had his UFC contract suspended after he’d spewed a venomous tirade against transgender fighter Fallon Fox. Back then, the UFC had rose petals thrown at its feet for swiftly bringing the hammer down.

    As it turns out, though, the hammer was only a Nerf hammer, the suspension no more than a kid’s timeout. Fox Sports reported on Wednesday that Mitrione will fight on the network’s UFC card in Seattle on July 27. So that’s it? A suspension lasting 16 days, which since “Meathead” wouldn’t have been fighting anyway amounts to nothing at all? White wouldn’t address the upcoming fight, reportedly to be against fellow Season 10 alum of The Ultimate Fighter (and fellow ex-NFL player) Brendan Schaub, but said Mitrione was fined “enough to make him call me 40 times and ask me not to fine him that much.”

    The takeaway: Open your wallet, Matt, but no need to publicly acknowledge that calling Fox a “lying, sick, sociopathic, disgusting freak” was vile and unbecoming of a professional athlete employed by the UFC.

    Of course, White doesn’t see it that way. “If a guy comes out and says something stupid, I don’t go to him and say, ‘Here’s what you’re going to do. You’re going to apologize,’ and you’re gonna do this and that,” he said. “You can’t make somebody apologize. If I make him do it, it’s not real. Then he’s not really apologizing.”

    There’s truth in that. All too often, athletes and others in the public eye issue faux mea culpas crafted by their PR teams. Those apologies aren’t worth the breath wasted on them. But the UFC is not the NFL or Major League Baseball, sports organizations that are already well established in the public perception, sometimes for the better, sometimes not. White’s fight league is on the fringes, vying for attention.

    Positive attention, that is, as opposed to having its notorious history of misogyny, homophobia and other antisocial behavior continually spotlit by groups like the Culinary Workers Union, Local 226. The Las Vegas-based outfit has long waged a battle with UFC majority owners Lorenzo and Frank Fertitta in an effort to unionize the brothers’ other business, Station Casinos. Recently the local has dragged the UFC into the fight, using the union’s political muscle in New York to lobby against MMA legislation. White calls this “dirty.”

    No, what’s dirty is masking Mitrione’s depraved hatred under the guise of having an opinion but just expressing it wrongly. Here’s what White said on the Mitrione matter on Thursday: “I don’t think that somebody who used to be a man but became a woman should be able to fight women. I don’t. But the way he said it? If he was standing in front of a courtroom because he was so passionate about this, in front of a judge or a committee or something like that, he wouldn’t have said it the way he said it. Maybe he thought he was trying to be funny? It wasn’t funny. My guys aren’t comedians, and they really need to figure that out and learn it. You wanna be funny, do it in with your friends, around your crew and everything else. Don’t do it on any public forum.”

    Now, there’s nothing wrong with White expressing an opinion of whether a trans woman should be allowed to compete with other women in combat sports, particularly in light of what he said next: “And you know, I’ll leave it up to the athletic commissions and the doctors and scientists, or whatever it is, to see if you have that surgery and you go through that stuff, if you actually become a … but bone structure is different. Hands are bigger. Jaw is bigger. Everything is bigger. I don’t believe in it. I don’t believe that someone who used to be a man and became a woman should be able to fight a woman. I don’t.”

    So White believes what he believes, but he’ll leave it to the experts to decide on how to proceed. Fine. The UFC president is not alone in that evenhanded stance. However, neither he nor anyone else who has commented on the matter — other than Mitrione — has darkened his or her opinion with a nasty personal attack. If the UFC wants to get past dirty politics, it needs to clean up its act by cleaning out the haters. Not by simply telling them to just whisper their malevolence to their buddies.

    Dana White might not get that, but his light heavyweight champion sure does. Jon Jones, who’ll defend his belt against Chael Sonnen in Saturday night’s main event at the Prudential Center in Newark (10 p.m. ET, PPV), offered up his own opinion of Mitrione during Thursday’s media gathering. “I think he’s terrible for that,” Jones said. “It’s ridiculous. I think Fallon Fox, that’s a strong person. Despite what the person has been through in their life, that’s a strong person. I’m a fan of that person because of what they’ve gone through and what they’re willing to go through. People like Matt Mitrione are scumbags. He’s a scumbag. I don’t care if he’s off suspension or doesn’t fight again. He’s a ridiculous person.”

    You might have noticed that Jones, even in defending Fox, did not once use a female personal pronoun. Taken within the context of what he said, he clearly meant no disrespect. Jones was just speaking outside his comfort zone. The emergence and gradual acceptance of transgenders and others who’ve long been shunned or ignored is a work-in-progress in sports as well as all of society. Comfort zones  can only expand along with education and compassion. One wonders whether that’s a lesson the UFC is even remotely interested in teaching Matt Mitrione.

    – Jeff Wagenheim

    UPDATE: Mitrione issued an apology on Friday via a UFC press release: “I want to apologize for my hurtful comments about Fallon Fox and a group within our society which, in truth, I know nothing about. I know now there’s an important line between expressing an opinion on a subject and being hurtful and insensitive. I crossed that line by expressing my views in an ugly, rude and inappropriate manner.”

    So, is this one of those meaningless apologies White was talking about? The jury is out on that, as Mitrione himself went on to acknowledge: “Anyone can say ‘I’m sorry’ to get themselves out of trouble. That’s not the kind of person I want to be. I am embarrassed I chose to express myself in such a fashion and am looking forward to living up to this apology through my future actions, words and conduct.”

    A couple of word choices suggest that perhaps the fighter is learning something from this ordeal. Describing transgenders as a group “I know nothing about” is a simple yet difficult acknowledgement that he was speaking out of ignorance. It also was good to hear Mitrione talk about “living up to this apology” with not just words but actions, a commitment the UFC plans to hold him to. Lawrence Epstein, the promotion’s vice president and COO, said Mitrione will work with Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual and Transgender groups “to make amends to the community he hurt.”

    How many grains of salt with which you take all of this depends on your own degree of naivete, cynicism or pragmatism. But if Mitrione is sincere in his desire to move forward, he has an opportunity here. There’s no better way to develop respect for a group of people different from you than to spend time around those people learning ways in which you’re the same.

    –J.W.


  • Published On Apr 26, 2013
  • Predictions for UFC 159: Jon Jones vs. Chael Sonnen

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    Chael Sonnen (right) is considered a heavy underdog against Jon Jones . (Josh Hedges/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images)

    Chael Sonnen (right) is considered a heavy underdog against Jon Jones . (Josh Hedges/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images)

    SI.com analysts Loretta Hunt, Jeff Wagenheim and Jon Wertheim provide their predictions for UFC 159, which takes place Saturday (10 p.m. ET) and will be blogged on SI.com.

    Jon Jones vs. Chael Sonnen

    WAGENHEIM: When the time comes, Chael P.’s music will start to play, he’ll put on his short pants and go to work. And as soon as the guy in the snake suit moves out of the way, he’ll put his head down, walk across the cage and put Jon Jones on his prissy little … oh, wait, I’m describing the fight as it plays out in Sonnen’s melodramatic fantasy narrative, not the way it really will.

    A more realistic, if less infomercial-ish scenario: Sonnen comes out boxing and moving forward, and at the first glimpse of one of Jones’s skinny legs, moves in for a takedown try. If he gets it, the crowd will go crazy and we’ll get a rare look at the “Bones” bottom game. Does Jon have the jiu-jitsu chops to become the latest to submit a guy whose walkout music should be “Taps”? Chael is not known for inflicting much damage while smothering an opponent, so it’d be interesting to see if Jones would put those treacherous elbows of his to use and be the ground aggressor. Or would he just work his way back to his feet?

    If, on the other hand, Sonnen fails on his takedown attempt, it will be an ingloriously short night for the unworthy challenger. Jones by KO.

    HUNT: Jones by TKO.

    WERTHEIM: Put simply, it’s hard come up with a conceivable scenario in which Jones loses this fight. He’s superior on virtually every dimension — If he’s not Sonnen’s equal as a wrestler, he comes awfully close — he’s younger,  more athletic and will be the crowd favorite. The best Sonnen can hope for: a respectable showing will suggest that he, in fact, earned this opportunity and didn’t simply talk/market himself into a title shot. Jones by TKO.

    Michael Bisping vs. Alan Belcher

    WAGENHEIM: If you spend a few minutes around these men, as I did on Thursday, it’s hard to picture Belcher winning this fight. Bisping is so supremely confident that he speaks of his opponent as if he were a yokel from Double-A ball who will be unable to get a piece of the Brit’s major-league playoff heater. And Belcher is, well, low-key and thoughtful and a little bemused by the leadup to what he acknowledges as the biggest fight of his career. Is the man with the tattoo of “The Man in Black” on his arm really in over his head? Tough to say, but I’m going to go with no. I think he’s going to give “The Count” a fight he’ll remember. Belcher might even beat him. But I’ve got to go with Bisping. This is the type of fight he’s won for all of his career (only to lose when he’s another step or so closer to the pot of gold). Bisping by decision.

    HUNT: Belcher has the heavier hands (and kicks, for that matter), but Bisping can win this if he plays it smart, mixing up his punches with takedowns like he did against Brian Stann last September. Bisping by decision.

    WERTHEIM: One hopes the fight lives up to the considerable advance trash talk. While it’s not all-out desperation time, Bisping is 34 now and has lost two of his last three fights. In Belcher, he gets a UFC veteran with a battery of skills and deceptive power. If both fighters are willing to stay on their feet, this has TKO potential. If it goes to the ground, we could have five rounds or stall-and-sprawl. Either way, I pick Bisping by decision.

    Roy Nelson vs. Chieck Kongo 

    WAGENHEIM: Kongo has the power to test Nelson’s hard-as-a-mulleted-rocker chin. But Cheick is known to make mistakes, and Roy is known to capitalize on them. Nelson by KO.

    HUNT: Though Nelson, a Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt, could devour Kongo on the mat, he’ll likely stand with the chiseled Frenchman, who is yet to amount to the powerhouse fighter his appearance suggests he’d be. Nelson by TKO (R2 or R3).

    WERTHEIM: You love Roy Nelson or you hate him, but have to admire both the durability and the unlikely skill set of Big Country. He won’t win any sculpted physique contests, but he can win fights — in a variety of ways. In Congo, he faces a veteran who seems to lose when he’s on the verge of a breakthrough; and win when he’s on the verge of being written off. Look for a TKO — and potential KO/fight of the Night — but I’ll say it’s Nelson who, like his belly, comes up big. Nelson by TKO.

    Phil Davis vs. Vinny Magalhaes

    WAGENHEIM: If Davis wants to make another go at the top of the light heavyweight division, he simply cannot slip up. Or tap out. Davis by decision.

    HUNT: This one will depend on the superior wrestler Davis, who can rack up points with takedown after takedown, as long as he doesn’t dawdle inside the Brazilian’s dangerous guard for too long. Davis by decision. 

    WERTHEIM: His nickname notwithstanding, Mr. Wonderful doesn’t often impress. A rangy wrestler and methodical fighter, Davis likes to do what’s necessary to win, seldom taking advantage of an inevitable reach advantage. Magalhaes looked good in his UFC return last year, but can he make inroads against a superior wrestler? The guess here: no. Davis by a (boring) decision.

    Jim Miller vs. Pat Healy

    WAGENHEIM: If you’re looking for aesthetics, change the channel. This ain’t going to be pretty. It isn’t, either. Miller and Healy both are grinders who close distance. When they meld into one, I expect the Jersey guy to grind just a little bit better. Miller by decision.

    HUNT: Miller will have a significant edge in speed everywhere and Healy’s strong suit, his boxing, isn’t dynamic enough to catch the hometown favorite. Miller By submission.

    WERTHEIM: Not dissimilar fighters, UFC veteran tough guys with submission-based ground skills and some power. Fighting in front of a home crowd, Miller, a New Jersey native, should prevail. Miller by decision.


  • Published On Apr 26, 2013
  • Quick Jabs: Russian promoter shells out big bucks for Wladimir Klitschko fight

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    Wladimir Klitschko is expected to face Alexander Povetkin in August. (Nadine Rupp/Bongarts/Getty Images)

    Wladimir Klitschko is expected to face Alexander Povetkin in August. (Nadine Rupp/Bongarts/Getty Images)

    • In a shocker, Russian promoter Vladimir Hryunov won a purse bid for the right to promote Wladimir Klitschko’s future heavyweight title defense against Alexander Povetkin with a whopping $23.3 million bid, far more than K2 Promotions ($7.1 million) or Sauerland Event ($6.01 million) put up. Assuming both Klitschko and Povetkin make it through their upcoming bouts, the fight will take place August 31 in either Moscow, Berlin or Las Vegas. Under the terms of the bid, Klitschko would receive $17.5 million with Povetkin entitled to $5.8 million. As big as Hryunov’s bid was, it falls well short of the $32.1 million Las Vegas businessman Steve Wynn put up to secure the rights to Buster Douglas’s title defense against Evander Holyfield in 1990.

    The obvious question: Can Hryunov come up with the cash? Occasionally, a promoter will come in and submit an outlandish bid for a fight, and then default. Don King has done it twice in the last year, first with a $1.1 million bid for the right to promote a heavyweight fight between Cris Arreola and Bermane Stiverne and later with a $1.5 million bid for Marco Huck and Ola Afolabi. King would default on both, losing the ten percent deposit he was required to put down. Sources involved with the bid told SI.com that Hryunov, who is being backed by a Russian-based businessman and real estate developer, will spend the next few weeks exploring ways to monetize the fight.

    • Some numbers from a busy boxing weekend: Last Saturday’s Showtime-televised fight between Saul Alvarez and Austin Trout peaked at 734,000 households and 1.061 million viewers, a modest increase from the 1.031 viewers Alvarez attracted for his September fight with Josesito Lopez. Meanwhile Saturday afternoon’s fight on NBC, headlined by heavyweights Tyson Fury and Steve Cunningham, did a strong overnight rating that translated to 1.2 million viewers. Expectations are that when the full numbers come in later in the week, peak viewership will exceed 1.8 million.

    • I love Juan Manuel Marquez-Tim Bradley. Like most, I was surprised that Marquez didn’t take a fifth fight with Pacquiao. Despite all the rhetoric, I figured Marquez would go for the biggest check. But in fighting Bradley, Marquez can still cash a big check and give himself a chance at history by becoming the first Mexican to win titles in five weight classes. And if he beats Bradley — and Pacquiao gets past either Mike Alvarado or Brandon Rios — a Pacquiao fight will still be there.

    • I don’t think I’ve ever been less interested in a notable fight than this Saturday’s heavyweight bout between Deontay Wilder and Audley Harrison. It’s another absolute joke of a fight for Wilder, a 2008 bronze medalist whose résumé as a pro is pathetic.

    • If Danny Garcia beats Zab Judah on Saturday, I think he becomes the favorite to face Floyd Mayweather in the fall. Mayweather clearly isn’t overly interested in facing Saul Alvarez; if he were, he would have agreed to face him already and fought together on the May 4th pay per view. I’ve been told that during negotiations with HBO and Showtime Mayweather’s representatives mentioned Garcia often as a possible opponent.

    • Ishe Smith-Carlos Molina: The very definition of not-made-for-TV.

    • Golden Boy’s ability to get Bernard Hopkins’ upcoming title defense against Karo Murat on premium television could get interesting. The fight stinks. Murat (25-0-1) is not a particularly big puncher and a complete unknown in the U.S. And everyone knows that at this stage of his career Hopkins (53-6-2) needs a certain type of opponent (Tavoris Cloud, Jean Pascal) to look impressive. I’m told Showtime is interested in showing the fight, but will require a strong co-main event to make it worth their while.

    • There is still nothing to make me think that a fight between Nathan Cleverly and Bernard Hopkins will be anything but dull.

    – Chris Mannix


  • Published On Apr 25, 2013


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